By James Wedgeworth on November 2nd, 2009
As everybody knows, the stock market has been in a tailspin recently causing a lot of confusion and uncertainty. I have had several people say that the unsteady stock market does not affect the value of real estate, but obviously it does.
People’s Net Worth
People purchase when they feel good about their net worth. If the average buyer has had a decrease in their net worth (any where from 20%-50% in the last 90 days). They are not feeling very good about their personal situation so they are less likely to make another investment.
Consumer Confidence
In our business, we call this consumer confidence. Even when the stock market is up and people’s net worth is up, they go out and spend money even though they do not sell the stocks that they own. At least they have confidence in the economy.
Lack of Confidence
There is a lack of confidence in the overall market which is further depressing real estate prices.
Silver Lining
There are some great buys out there for anyone who is willing to step out on a limb. Historical research shows that people who have bought in times such as these have made a fortune. We can never guarantee the future, but the past sometimes is a good prediction of the future.
By James Wedgeworth on March 18th, 2009
For the last month it seems like everyone who called me was complaining about the stock market because their assets kept going down in value. I’m so excited to see that we have had about eight or nine days of good news in the stock market – I think that has a positive influence on the overall real estate market.
I have had people ask “why does that affect the Hilton Head real estate market”? It is simple – the most important factor in real estate is consumer confidence. In other words, when people feel good about their net worth, they are much more likely to go out and buy real estate – especially secondary resort real estate in places like Hilton Head Island. When people feel bad about their net worth, they are less likely to spend for those “extras”.
It is my hope that the stock market has bottomed out, prices are up and I think we will see a corresponding trend and increased activity in real estate. There have been a lot of people sitting on the sidelines waiting for the right time to buy – this may be it.
By James Wedgeworth on March 6th, 2009
Wow, the stock market dropped 4% yesterday.
Stock market values affect real estate values, even though not directly.
It has been my experience that people buy when they feel good about their investments and are more cautious when they do not feel good about their investments. 7 out of the last 8 days the stock market has dropped and there was another big drop yesterday. This probably means that now is a pretty good time to buy.
I wrote an article once “When will history really teach us a lesson” – in this article I talked about how the people who bought in 1991 when every single indicator said not to buy real estate, are the people who came out big winners. I think those indicators are here today meaning it is a great time to buy.
Consumer confidence is a funny thing. When consumers do not have confidence in the economy, the economy slows down and real estate prices drop. We have some unbelievable real estate deals today and now might be a good time to shop around.
I recently had a prospect tell me that he thought the market had not bottomed out and he thinks it will bottom out in 6 months. I told him that he was probably right, but the problem is that he is not buying a mutual fund of real estate – you are buying one specific property.
There are some great deals available – take advantage of them!
By James Wedgeworth on December 23rd, 2008
Obviously Wall Street has been in the news recently and most of the things that have been going on have made investors leery of the trust factor (of Wall Street).
Helping Real Estate
Obviously when things like this happen people tend to have more confidence in the real estate market then they do investments. In the long run this will help people purchase more real estate even though in the short run we have been effected because people’s investments have been so low that they don’t have the money to purchase.
People Believe in Real Estate
The advantage of buying real estate is that people get to make the decision them-self. They pick out the property they like and they feel better about their investments.
In the past, more people have invested in Wall Street because they felt these were “professionals”. But the erratic behavior and dishonesty of several people have hurt Wall Street as a whole, even though there are bad real estate agents just like there are bad stock brokers. Recently the bad stock brokers have been getting more publicity than bad real estate agents.
Obviously the greed on Wall Street is bad for everybody. I’m not saying I’m glad it happened but I do think it is going to make people more conscience that one of the best investments they can make is real estate.
By James Wedgeworth on November 21st, 2008
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By James Wedgeworth on November 20th, 2008
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By James Wedgeworth on November 7th, 2008
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By James Wedgeworth on October 14th, 2008
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